Archive for the Category » Earnings dates «

SPY 500, Q2 earnings, so far, NOT IMPRESSED!


AAPL missing earnings by 10%, knocks of 1.20 off the QQQ april highs, leaving 66.8 as a shortable target price.
INTC missed, not helping, IBM in line…

Most of the banks, in line, most of the transpo , in line, IYR companies, some misses, not to impressed. miners look horrible. NEM 38% miss, no way the spy makes it to 1415 again, because of the minersr

XLE is off by 2 or 3% this quarter on its reports. Drug companies, in line, to missed slightly….
healthcare, off. some in line, some misses, in general, it looks off. like they missed, they certainly had their p/e’s drastically taken down. some as much as 15%.
not helping those with a case, we go to a new yearly high by mid aug.

the breadth indicators, 2 of them, are at their top,top readings. the 50 and 200 day breadth indicators.
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I could short the indexes, now, and the aug pullback, would make them profitable, when the aug pullback happens. not going to try and time that, just yet.
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$NYA50 breadth signal. Looks important.

NYA50—
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i’m pretty confident, the max the DIA can get to, based on what little earnings are coming in so far, is 127.5. you might have to correct me on this when / if DIA reaches 128–
overall, earnings are looking good so far.


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no research in these earnings outlooks, just musings about their past history, and what i think is wrong about the price history.

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i was studying some of fitzpatric’s trades. my method concludes this.
on his next chart $EBIX, everybodies target price is $30 on google search. they are failing to recognize the market took away 10% p/e, and they are not giving it back anytime soon
so EBIX 2012 target price is $27 at best. imo.
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nov 7th gap 15.2. that’s where it is safest to short OVTI.
so fitzpatric’s analysis is a good one, imo.
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JAN 19th both pre-market and ah, there are a lot of market moving earnings reports. if you are a newbie…you probably won’t like your results,
i’d go to all cash, if i were you.
I know I probably won’t like mine, already. I’m moving to 75% cash.

Earnings week, next weeks outlook

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Next week, the worst of the worst stocks,
( the ones that are in the most trouble)
report earnings, and in droves…
I expect the market to pull back.

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LRCX, and XOM target price is somewhere between 100-105, using a 12.4 p/e max…

LRCX UPDATE 3-4…low 46.48 hi 49′s WINNER!!!

LRCX korea semi tech

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XOM target price is somewhere between 100-105, using a 12.4 p/e max…
ABCD mar low 78, suggests a 90 short term target
XOM monthly lows has usually been 10.0 p/e…
8.40 is the current eps, X10 = 84, may low

AKAM is showing strong support in the 34′s. I’ll go long on Monday, if I get another red candle
DECK, falling knife, wait for first up day, then go long.
DRIV, falling knife, wait for first up day, then go long
UPDATE 5-12 TGT, MADE 51.80 TODAY, lower gasoline prices helped out
TGT i went long today, you might get a better entry than me on Monday. not really trusting this triple bottom. exit is still 51′s

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EARNINGS DATES



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CSCO AND earnings week

Trading idea: buy FRO. SMALLGAIN
Opened at 21.75 on 4/19/11.
Trading idea: buy GOOG. HIT 545
Opened at 522.98 on 4/19/11. waiting for 530-545 exi, and eventually 560 exit
Trading idea: buy CECO. STILL MOVING HIGHER 22′S NOW
Opened at 20.73 on 4/19/11. may have jumped the gun. 20.3 is S1 support 1
Trading idea: buy STRA. WINNER 123 EXIT
Opened at 117.89 on 4/19/11. 115-116 makes a better entry. exit 3 to 6% of the low.

CSCO


AMZN reports this week. i can imagine that moving 8% in either direction. might be good for a straddle play.
BWLD, reports this week. if it pops higher on earnings, that is possibly it’s short sell signal.

here’s a list of companies reporting this week.

mon-tues apr 18-19
amtd,alb,btu,c,cree,csx,gs,hal,intc,isrg,jnj,jnpr,pcar,stx,stt,syk,usb,yhoo

wed-thurs apr 20-21
abt,amgn,aapl,alv,amd,apd,aep,avid,bax,bib,blk,bcr,cmg,dgx,cof,cb,cy,do,dd
etfc,etn,emc,ffiv,fwrd,fcx,gild,esv,ge,gr,hon,iiin,jblu,ksu,mo,mar,lll,lh,lstr,
mcd,ms,luv,ndaq,ne,qcom,t,unp,wfc,wdc,yum,nfx,nem,nue,pcx,rhi,sndk,slb,
sti,syna,trow,vz,wft

mon-tues apr 25-26
elx,esrx,jci,kmb,nflx,pcl,rsh,rvbd,sohu,veco
aks,arlp,altr,amzn,aci,an,bdx,brcm,bwld,chrw,cmi,dv,gpi,ko,hsy,
itw,jec,jll,kci,mmm,lxk,life,mee,lcc,nbr,ryn,swk,ua,ups,x,vlo,wu
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from a fundamentals perspective, it’s going to take a lot of earnings this week to ever get the dow over 12,800, intermediate short term. in fact, i’d go as far to say, the IWM at best will only trade sideways.

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