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Option Price History–RTH,INDU,NTES,DAI

29 Dec2008

Option price history

2008
12-29
HANS 12-29 entry 0.80 at 33.90 T3 ( T3 = three weeks till expire) otm, 30 Puts HANS @ 32.9 T3 at +$5 = delta 5 ( delta 5 means strike price moves 0.05 for each dollar the stock price moves), yuch.

ALL XXX ( XXX means I have to buy deep in the money strikes)
AMT T5 OPT X DITM–( deep in the money ) AMT at 22.5 T3 20 call is 3.70 –20 + 3.70 = 23.70 or $1.20 too much. It means AMT has to move $1.20 before the call has equal worth to the stock price–
APD T4 9-08 TAKES $7.00 , THE ATM ( ATM = at the money) OR OTM ( OTM = out of the money) NO GOOD.
AVID T5 1.00 OK 2.5* ( 2.5* means the strikes are only 2.50 apart)
CNC XXX–have to spend 7.00 to get a good delta
CMA XXX

DO T3 $1.00 STRIKE WORKS $5 MOVE = $60 profit
FXI T3 ATM AND OTM WORK $2 MOVE GETS 0.60AND 0.75 UP ex FXI at 23 goes to 25 nov 25 call up .75
GS T5 ( T5 = 5 weeks till option expires) OPT X–have to spend about 10.00 for a good strike–
IWM t3 over the weekend T@ 0.66 strike loses $25 on IWM 1% cent move
JPM T5 X
LRCX T5 OK 1.10
MRO OPT X –takes 7.00 to get a good delta–
MS T5 X
MSFT T5 OTM 1.00 OK–example MSFT at $15 I can buy the 16 strike–going Long–
MTB T3 opt xxx spreads are too big, however the OTM put did go from 1.25 to 2.25 on 8% one day move– down
NDAQ T5 BORDERLINE 1.10
NEM T5 OK 1.10
NIHD OPT X
NYX T5 X
QQQQ T3 0.85 STRIKE 3% MOVE PAYS $16
WFR T5 OTM 1.10 XXX
XEC XXX
XLE 11-2 t3 over weekend t2 1.00 price works delta 15
XLE T5 OK 1.30 OK
XOM T5 OK 1.10 OK

JANUARY-1-2009

CLICK ME !!!

Did you see all the discounts at the Dept. stores?
Is that what they mean by commodities are in a deflationary cycle?
Trader’s think gold is going to get to $900?
Did GS really say Oil is going to $80? They said it was going to $200, once.
Is Goldman Sachs an investment bank or more like the National Enquirer Rag Paper.
We’ll at least GS is saying oil going to $25–

Here’s my take on RTH, which because of WMT always messes with my best laid plans.
I think You should try to short at 77, with a 79 stop loss. Or short at 79 with an 81 stop loss.
Eventually RTH will be in the 60′s

retail sector

12-31-2008
INDU-monthly chart — index chart category

INDU 12-31

AU Feb 30 Put, try to get that for 4.00

AU ITM T7 option

12-30-2008
I think NTES will climb higher. It’s at RSI 63, and that’s just a bad reading to try and short something. I think NTES keeps going higher until the RSI is at 69, so NTES price could get to the 23-25 range before there’s a good short sell signal, namely RSI 69.0

chinese web portal, no english speaking!!!

These are all my winning trades
AEM 12-29 short 51-52 exit 46.5 gold sector
AEP 12-30 update, stalled at 32. still waiting for $34′s utility sector
AU 12-29 200 day = 28.4, try to short at 27.7-28.4 gold sector , click gold sector under category links for the chart
AZO 12-18 SHORT ½ 138 , ½ 141 EXIT 138-135, 133-120, JAN 150 PUT OK
DAI 12-30 update, at RSI 65 wait for RSI 69, approx 39.5
DO 12-30 update, 55-56 go long
FE UPDATE 12-29 FE, utility sector category, looks like I found the bottom price.
JACK 12-30 update , short at 22.7
JACK you can see the JACK chart by clicking on Food sector under category link.
GILD 12-30 update, finally broke to the upside, RSI 65 wait for RSI 69 = short 53.5 approx
GILD, you can see the GILD chart by clicking on healthcare sectory, under category tab.
HANS 12-30 update, short at 34.4-35 sell 33 or longer term $29 = 200 day.
MFE 12-30 update, short 35.7 RSI 65 wait for RSI 69
MO 12-29 update, waiting to get in at 14.2, might try short at 15.8 with 16 stop loss
RATE 12-30 update, short at $40 -40.8
SINA 12-28 buy at 22-23 sell $24-$26 JAN / FEB 20 CALLS
TSCO 12-22 buy at 31.7-32.4 sell 37.0 JAN 30 or 25 calls OK.

12-29-2008
DAI 12-29 Short at 37 and / or 39 exit 35 or 33

dai-12-29, Mercedes Benz

12-30-2008 trading record since Sept 1, 182-7

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Category: Index charts, retail sector 51 Comments

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28 Dec2008

Investor method #1

I’m looking for a few partners, either cash stricken, or cash heavy to call on the telephone, when I have a good trade.
It’s FREE to start out, but when the profits come in—Here’s what the pay schedule breaks down too…
Investor method #1
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Category: Uncategorized 10 Comments

USO,RGLD, housing?**

26 Dec2008

SATURDAY UPDATE
Here’s a movie Seven Pounds w/ Will Smith

Why should I turn off the lights. If the Gov’t spent the money right, I wouldn’t have to turn off the lights.
Energy is priced back down to 1% of GDP. 40 years ago energy was priced at 3% of GDP, and the country did fine. In my opinion, anytime the market can supply the energy at 1% of GDP, the gov’t needs to be adding in other energy components priced at 3% of GDP.
Big Oil spends 0.005% on other energy sources. Big Oil, really needs to get out of gov’t.
3% of GDP, on solar, methane, coal capturing, carbon taxes, wind, transmission infrastructure, enact Federal imminent Domain laws, etc. Too bad the Gov’t spent that money on other what? Perks and pork barrel, for the last 20 years. Had the gov’t acted responsibly, I don’t think there would be any commercials on TV saying turn off the lights—-
It’s all about spending side economics. Something I’ve been talking about for 2 ½ years. I hope this next administration can explain spending side economics to Congress.

RGLD is my next victim—
RGLD EPS is 0.86/1.07 DEC 26
Back in JUNE of 08, EPS was 0.87/1.13
There’s nothing in the EPS to support a P/E of 50, so When Gold stocks crash and burn, this one’s going low,low,low
If you got here thru the “gold stocks “category link, you have to keep scrolling down to see all 4 gold stocks and how they should be played. There’s a lot of holiday garbage in the way, now.

RGLD gold stocks category

Homebuilders are a mystery to me. Can’t tell if they are going to go up again, or is the price going to slow bleed like this for another 5 days—

USO is usually up on Mon. Crude tried to go higher today
DO closing out DO calls at 56.98, will try to get back in EOD.
Update DO, left 2% on the table never got the chance to get back in at a lower price.

Category: Uncategorized 20 Comments

Happy Holidays

24 Dec2008

IWM late night X-mas, Got lucky and found an inverse chart that says to buy “it” when IWM at $48, so that means short IWM at $48, next 2 or 3 days.

IWM xmas

12-25
I like going to other people’s blogs. I’ve been to quite a few over the past few years. I’ve located many a great trader too!!! Sometimes I meet friendly kindred spirits, other times, I meet reclusive highly innovated loner types.
Throughout the whole experience over the years, I’ve watched many of them go private. Once they went private, I was instantly cut off. The ones that went private wanted anywhere from $49 to $500 a month.
I tried joining a few but in the end the monthly bill was beginning to get too high. So, I quit. The info was well worth it, but the monthly budget couldn’t handle all the membership fees. That’s when I figured out, “I wish these guys could have only charged $4 a month.”
I could have kept in touch with all of them.
When a great trader, suddenly goes private, it puts a real hole in my trading universe. It means I have to go on the internet, all over the internet, read hundreds of blogs, until I find another kindred or innovative great trader.
To make my long story short, that’s why I decided to make my membership site $4 a month, instead of $49 or $500. I didn’t want the shadows and ghosts following me (karma) for cutting everyone off, and then, putting “THEM ( my readers)” into a time consuming search all over the internet for another, someone sort of like me.
I hope other bloggers and they know who they are, when they go private, will follow my lead.
In the future, I may set up a site that charges $49 – $500 a month, but for now I think I owe it to my loyal following not to do so.
The zeester, Merry Xmas

Happy Holidays–

Xmas Merry to happy you holiday, Hey there’s too much Rum in the eggnog!!!

SCHN is one I’d rather go long on, but in this case I might try a short sell if I can get a 37.5 or 38 entry price.

someone elses AEM chart–

Category: Index charts 18 Comments

GILD,SLB Become a member, stop losing.

23 Dec2008

GILD, 12-23 short at 53 or 51 exit 49 and then $5 from the high. ( ex. 53 high, exit 48)

GILD bio tech healthcare

Since Sept, this blog has posted 181 winning trades, against 10 losers. I have a membership site, boy that will really set you back some bucks if you decide to join. Here’s the thing. In the members section, I give all my members a tool that eliminates all of their losing trades.

I must have something pretty important to teach you, If I think I can eliminate all of YOUR losing trades.

Have a Merry Xmas.

zee

SLB 10-22 enter 36.4-37.4 exit 41.5, 47.5 tgt zstock7 OIH
I hadn’t realized SLB’s EPS had been downgraded 35% in the last 90 days, for 2009. SLB is still making more money than in 2007 equaled a $72 high. So my little ole short time frame target $47 looks pretty easy to get to, imo.