Archive for » April, 2011 «

LRCX, and XOM target price is somewhere between 100-105, using a 12.4 p/e max…

LRCX UPDATE 3-4…low 46.48 hi 49′s WINNER!!!

LRCX korea semi tech

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XOM target price is somewhere between 100-105, using a 12.4 p/e max…
ABCD mar low 78, suggests a 90 short term target
XOM monthly lows has usually been 10.0 p/e…
8.40 is the current eps, X10 = 84, may low

AKAM is showing strong support in the 34′s. I’ll go long on Monday, if I get another red candle
DECK, falling knife, wait for first up day, then go long.
DRIV, falling knife, wait for first up day, then go long
UPDATE 5-12 TGT, MADE 51.80 TODAY, lower gasoline prices helped out
TGT i went long today, you might get a better entry than me on Monday. not really trusting this triple bottom. exit is still 51′s

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EARNINGS DATES



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MOS,PAAS silver mining target price 43 or higher.


UPDATE 5-4 MOS low was 69.5, high 71.55, WINNER…now manage gains
UPDATE MOS,PAAS…BOTH HAD HUGE OVERNIGHT GAINS..

MOS, MOS chart, approaching 200 day support, and with this type of growth story, the probability is almost zero, MOS will go under its 200 day

looks like the marlet found a bottom for SCCO and BVN, the peruvian communist conspiracy mining companies.
buy at any repeats of the last lows.

PAAS silver mining, has a potential 27% higher exit, if I can get a 34 entry.
Seems worth it, to start accumulating now.
PAAS at 38, look how many times PAAS has retested 38. it’s like the energizer bunny, keeps on running and running, ( to $38)


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Category: Uncategorized  23 Comments

YUM and FFIV, how to trade black top candles

UPDATE, GS CALLS UP 17%, YUM CALLS UP 15%, FFIV didn’t follow the black top rule.
both FFIV and
YUM black tops lead to lower prices today, that means they are longs next 48 hours, if anyone at all, is interested in such things. and the crowd says back!!! so vhwat…
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GS

Category: XLF sector  11 Comments

(FSLR), the largest maker of thin-film photovoltaic panels


UPDATE, 5-4, avoided trading earnings on FSLR and good thing too! going long at 123-124, i still like my exits…
UPATE 4-29, 5 trading days later, FSLR it reached my 145 exit

of First Solar (FSLR), the largest maker of thin-film photovoltaic panels, … reiterated a “hold” rating on First Solar with a $150 price target, …
They now have a $156.00 price target on the stock. Also, analysts at Brean Murray initiated coverage on shares of First Solar, Inc. in a research note to …
Shares of First Solar (FSLR) are down 4% at $139.15 after short-seller Jim … Ries rates First Solar at Buy with a $180 price target.
In the green space, BofA/ML sees First Solar Inc. (NASDAQ: FSLR) as the cost leader and the $175 price target compares to …

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Category: XLE sector  16 Comments

IYR near it’s short sell price

UPDATE 4-29, IYR HIT 62.67. it also hit break even today 61.46
AUDUSD has also broken rising wedge resistance and my next target is in the 1.11 area. The target for the broadening formation that broke up in September last year has now been met, but there’s no sign of a top for AUDUSD here:


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The U.S. Defense Dept.’s report promoted Afghanistan’s minerals trove as a path to “economic sovereignty.” It tallied $908 billion in copper, iron, gems, and precious metals.
More than two-thirds of Afghanistan’s resources are yet to be quantified, the report said.
$980 billion round that up to 1 trillion, is only 1/3 of what’s potentially there. that’s $3 trillion in mining.
first russia, and now US is in afghanistan.

Map of afghan railroads going to mining locations.
rail map to afghan mining , click here…

IYR sector has used up about all of its eps and p/e power. still has 2% left to go.
short at 61.40.

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CSCO AND earnings week

Trading idea: buy FRO. SMALLGAIN
Opened at 21.75 on 4/19/11.
Trading idea: buy GOOG. HIT 545
Opened at 522.98 on 4/19/11. waiting for 530-545 exi, and eventually 560 exit
Trading idea: buy CECO. STILL MOVING HIGHER 22′S NOW
Opened at 20.73 on 4/19/11. may have jumped the gun. 20.3 is S1 support 1
Trading idea: buy STRA. WINNER 123 EXIT
Opened at 117.89 on 4/19/11. 115-116 makes a better entry. exit 3 to 6% of the low.

CSCO


AMZN reports this week. i can imagine that moving 8% in either direction. might be good for a straddle play.
BWLD, reports this week. if it pops higher on earnings, that is possibly it’s short sell signal.

here’s a list of companies reporting this week.

mon-tues apr 18-19
amtd,alb,btu,c,cree,csx,gs,hal,intc,isrg,jnj,jnpr,pcar,stx,stt,syk,usb,yhoo

wed-thurs apr 20-21
abt,amgn,aapl,alv,amd,apd,aep,avid,bax,bib,blk,bcr,cmg,dgx,cof,cb,cy,do,dd
etfc,etn,emc,ffiv,fwrd,fcx,gild,esv,ge,gr,hon,iiin,jblu,ksu,mo,mar,lll,lh,lstr,
mcd,ms,luv,ndaq,ne,qcom,t,unp,wfc,wdc,yum,nfx,nem,nue,pcx,rhi,sndk,slb,
sti,syna,trow,vz,wft

mon-tues apr 25-26
elx,esrx,jci,kmb,nflx,pcl,rsh,rvbd,sohu,veco
aks,arlp,altr,amzn,aci,an,bdx,brcm,bwld,chrw,cmi,dv,gpi,ko,hsy,
itw,jec,jll,kci,mmm,lxk,life,mee,lcc,nbr,ryn,swk,ua,ups,x,vlo,wu
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from a fundamentals perspective, it’s going to take a lot of earnings this week to ever get the dow over 12,800, intermediate short term. in fact, i’d go as far to say, the IWM at best will only trade sideways.

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