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• Monday, May 11th, 2009

ABX–
Imagine $36 is the 200 day–it’s practically impossible for ABX to get above $36 it’s first try–

ABX gold

ABX gold

CHK

CHK ng stocks 5-11

CHK ng stocks 5-11


Trading record—75 wins, 20 break-evens 5 stopped out, month after month, year after year, click this link to see some past results
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  • NEW POST
  • TenYear
    IYR is a go long overnight or wait for another gap down.....might as well wait
  • SRS upper bb band 27--where it's a short--I guess that puts PSA at 58--just where I like it--PSA has been too easy--It's about time PSA became more challenging--
  • NDAQ at 17.67 good for going long cause I can use a 17.5 stop loss--kind of straight forward on the stop loss--
  • nergo
    NDAQ at 17.62 . Zee, you buying here or at EOD?
  • nergo
    Strong support at 875 on the S&P. A reversal, big test, at 875 or maybe to 846.
  • SPY another 2% lower and SPY is an overnight buy--I think Friday is the up day--is my best guess--on the next up day
  • NFLX looks like lower low tomorrow and then it's a long---Or it's a long right now---I'm opening a 1/4 position end of day
  • WEN has overnight long signals 4.2--If I'm wrong-use 3.85 entry--- 4.4 is an easy exit next few days out--WEN is still in my chart system--I thought I deleted stocks under $10
  • YUM and SNA --look like if those are down Thursday--then Fri they should be up--which means the markets will probably be up that day--
  • SNA same as YUM set-up--if down tomorrow--will go long on overnight
  • YUM short moving stop loss to 32.2--one more down day--and I'm long YUM
  • TOL in between the 20 and 50 day just like BRCM yesterday--BRCM crashed---
    20/50 trap--usually bullish--but in major downturns it's extreme bearish--
    AMZN too, COST too--KSS already broke thru short KSS--KSS use a 25 cent stop loss
  • UTX at 50 short use a 51 stop loss --could be the start of a falling knife
  • cotguy
    from another board:

    PSA testing 50 day ema and yesterday low.. PSA broke a triple bottom
  • TenYear
    IYR radar
  • sam
    Check out ICE Z.
  • MYGN still trying to get to 35 --200 day--If I can get a 31 entry--I don't think it will retest 30
  • TenYear
    XLF: throw a dart at support because its all over this area. $11.30, 11.40...whatever. Yesterday I said $8.46 for FAS entry. use a $11.28 XLF stop. Then $10 XLF support, then a gap way down at $9.30 XLF. I am VERY interested to see how far they take this down.
  • Tazman
    8.50 was spot on....I did not get in ...watching...
  • TenYear
    Tim Knight said goodbye to FAS! LOL! But he also sold his FAZ! So which is it Tim?
  • NDAQ--I'd wait to see if 17.6 holds--19 is still a good exit--Even if it is down Thursday--just add more to the position--because it will be up on Fri--NDAQ is either up on Thurs or up on Fri
  • pre-market news was PROFIT TAKING---
    I don't know how many days this lasts--don't ask me about LONGS---
    if you're short --move the stop loss
    I'll wait for an up day, before going long
  • NEM turned into a daytrade--so forget shorting overnight--
  • Tazman
    Anybody like HRB at 52 week low????
  • TenYear
    its either a buy now or at $12..gotta pull up a monthly on that bad boy...huge red volume in 2009
  • TenYear
    test
  • TWM new price channel 48.3 to 53 or so--swing trade time frame
    If this profit taking keeps going another couple of days
  • Tazman
    NDAQ....LOD 17.89.....nice entry?

    Also went into STV @ 8.32...watch this one....Long
  • Financials are falling knives--I'll wait for the first up day--then get in
  • NEM at 44.7 has pretty good overnight short sell signals

  • pre-market news-
    Profit-takers retain control, pressuring broad range of stocks

    April retail sales slide and fall short of expectations
  • test
  • TenYear
    I think SDS looks good here...but the stop is tight (closing above 900 on the S&P)
  • rose2797
    Zee, where will u sell Mygn. I am holding from 30.71. It is acting strong, even in the down market, so probably will go much higher
  • rockwind
    zeee!!!!

    nice one on MYGN! i took a 60% over night profit on the june 35 calls. and i'm sort of kicking myself for getting out early as they went up more than double the next day.

  • old_sparky
    TenYear might get 24.5 on ANR today. That's where my order is.
  • $7.95 a month---
    New price discounted from $29.95 a day---
    for any one who wants access to the members site--
    That site just knocks my site off---compared to this site--
    Z!
  • Loren
    Ten Year, look at INTC after hour. What the heck? Wow, did you keep yours?
  • TenYear
    $15.35 was hit yesterday and sold for 20c/share gain on all but about 1/5 th that didn't execute.
  • pre-released 2nd Q or inventory report--something good--
  • I'm done in--
    I'll put up a new post tonite--
  • Reza
    Zstock,

    Any updates about FAZ
  • TenYear
    retail numbers tomorrow morning. So far, if the news has been bad we rally off it.
  • WFT--went from 17.9 up to 18.9 intraday--This might be tough to short--after all
  • rose2797
    Best stock to trade is PSA. 60-62 entry. $2-3 move everyday. I missed again today
  • FAZ intrtaday ==update should do 5.40 and then go to 5.80 end of day
  • Bear blogs are doing high-fives.. I think they are going to get faked out like few weeks ago when we tested 840 and then 825 the next morning.. I think that today too (like then) is an opportunity to go long SPX into 1000...
  • TenYear
    yeah, I know. Thats why I posted that comment over at Tim's site about the DOW being down 40 but feeling like its down 200! S&P defended 900 today (so far)
  • I'm back to getting out of shorts fast--OIH is much stronger than I anticipated--WFT made a good daytrade-LONG-and I didn't even know it--
  • TenYear
    its getting choppy out there...not finding many high percentage trades. The market needs to pull back. I actually don't like the 900 S&P defense today because it leaves us with a tough call.
  • IMO defense of 900 is very bullish... that is how 820 was defended in April and we kept going up and up... I think we will take out the 200dma easily just like we took out the 23.6% fib at 881... Massive bear trap today IMO like last month.. Z called it nicely .... dollar keeps tanking.. oil keeps going up ... energy makes up more than 25% of S&P.. no way S&P can go down with oil going up... Also, cant see any bad news around the corner that is not already anticipated...
  • NDAQ is back in the 18's--100% it gets back to 19.5 = middle band--Now just need the entry price--17.6 or now
  • I agree.. I am short QID via puts.... Btw, I became member 2 days ago...
  • C has support at 3.6 = 100 day
  • YUM WINNER move the stop to 34.2
  • WFT 19.7 -( OIH holding) -next two month's high--I'm surprised it's above 16= EPS times growth rate
  • GS,MS,AXP--if they paid back the taxpayer today---the tax payer would have made a 50% gain--The other TARP people are 50% underwater--I'm using rough figures
  • UPS WINNER--move the stop to $56.4
  • Semiconductors--I moved out of 9 month charts and into 5 month charts---That's a good thing
  • Whoever said AAPL was going to 140, missed by $7--no-one from this site--it was some other site
  • HIT got hit---40.8 that's the next 2 month's high--
  • AVID --gamers sound cards--11 day white soldier, RSI 79--Is there such a thing as a 12 day white soldier? I never saw one--I've seen 11 before though--UAUA a long time ago--11 days up, 11 days down
  • ICE bouncincing off the 61% pullback line--93 is 50%==82 to 104
  • SKF has huge resistance 47-47.5 area
  • DIA on my overnight charts DIA could go either way tomorrow--Which is way better than "only down"
  • HD is a falling knife--25.6 I'd short there, 25.2
    anyway--XRT,AMZN,BBY,FO are good examples of retail stocks unable to go above their middle bb band--
    This confirms the Sell in May and walk away --new sentiment downtrend--
    almost forgot--short the above at the middle band--use a 1% S/L--
    throw the Q's in--too!
  • TenYear
    OIH: has a gap from May 4th around $94...that would be a great entry
  • Last week Nat Gas stocks went a little higher than I anticipated--This week , It looks like gold stocks will go a little higher than I'm anticipating--
    So with that prelude--GDX is either a high high tomorrow or it's a short now--it says on the overnight charts
  • TenYear
    Looking for XLF to hit $11.40

    FAS entry looking like $8.46
  • XLF might be an overnight long 11.6 with a 11.3 stop loss--sure looks that way on the overnight chart--
    20 day is 11.1, so I could be off by 5%
  • RTH new short term price channel 80 high the low 78 or 77
  • RCL if I see that at 16.2- 16.5--short that
  • rose2797
    Ten Year, what will be your exist price on INTC.. With Nasdaq being weak, do u think, Intc, will go up
  • TenYear
    stop $14.95, looking to make 20c/share
  • TenYear
    I'm long a truck load of INTC at $15.15
  • TenYear
    this is why I rarely post intra-day trades...they are large trades and probably not ideal for most on this board.
  • Tazman
    TenYear....went Long @ 15.02....2K shares....set stop @ 14.95 also...should see 15.50 soon...
  • Loren
    Hi TenYear.

    I appreciate your posts intra-day trades...We might not be able to trade in large sizes like you do but seeing what your interest/trades helps me a whole lots...so please keep posting if you can.

    Loren
  • This dip in tech stocks might be a buying opportunity---
    BRCM,INTC,LRCX --in between the 20-50 day --at the 50 day support--is bullish--
    20/50 trap--
  • TenYear
    UNG up again. Now that is amazing.

    OIH probably hits $102.50 today..$100.65 premarket. I'd like to get back in under $98. It might not happen.
    SLV continues to be on fire....glad I bought more last month.

    SPY: we are still below yesterday's high premarket even though it is up .6%--still lacking direction.

    FMCN: reports earnings June 4th
    MPEL: reports earnings Thursday
  • CRM if you see that at $44--SHORT IT--
    it's over at PT's
    http://www.pikertrader.com/2009/05/pikers-picks.html?dsq=9231046#comment-9231046
  • Can definitely play it short at resistance but if it breaks $25 it could move to $33 real fast.
  • I hope investors can see the 24.6 stop loss I posted on the chart for this trade. I'd really rather be a buyer of CHK--not a shorter---
  • Susannah
    I'm thinking of putting a strangle on an instrument of crude oil (haven't decided which instrument yet - the CL future would be the purest play - but I don't know if I want to lay that much money down on it).

    I think 60 is a key psychological price from what I'm seeing, it either wants to breakout or finally admit the demand might not be there to support that price yet. Here's what I'm looking at: http://futures.tradingcharts.com/chart/CL_/69 (well, sort of, I'm looking at it in my trading software but same instrument).

    Edit: Well, I'm looking and strangles are very expensive on almost all the instruments. I think I'll wait to see how it breaks and think about it more then.
  • There's an OPEC meeting in 3 weeks---Does that affect the price? ( probably narrow price channel, till then)
    Maybe tenyear will short USO--Tenyear is good to follow--on USO
  • dandy1
    dandy1

    Until you have a clean signal of a trend reversal (lower low, lower high), you're guessing.
  • Little Fish
    Little Fish
    the RTH is on my short list for tomorrow (along with several retail stocks) ... waiting till after the store data though and I will look to enter shorts into resistance ...
  • Michelle

    Hi Z!, I closed out my DV longs today for a $2.5K profit.
    Thanks for the help!
    Michelle
  • Nergo
    Congratulations Michelle. Boy-ole-Boy!! .... it must be nice to have that much capital to turn a$2.5k profit on a trade (assuming this was a short term trade) Maybe I'll get there one day.
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