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• Monday, August 17th, 2009

ABT,
I guess I have to face facts__doesn’t look like the market will let me get ABT for 42.5
__and I don’t want it to get away and jump to $58 all of a sudden–just kidding–but $58 ABT will be there some day—

These right wingers against the health insurance public option don’t live in Los Angeles–Los Angeles–if you come to visit here and get into a car accident–we don’t have any emergency rooms left open for you–so you’ll just have to die! Avoid coming to LA at all costs if you can!

HES–
This is OPX–option expire week–I’d be careful with any long positions–use tight stops on longs–I don’t think there will be any more gap downs this week–
The investors that bought AUG calls, they’ll probably take profits before the calls expire–So, OPX week might be a down week.

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  • wow i really found this to be interesting. thanks for sharing
  • TenYear
    LEAP: $14.17 would be the stop. I'm waiting for $15.05 or the first up day.

    IACI: breakout looks good. I'd like more volume but it is still breaking out.

    UNG: nothing new here.

    USO: short now right at resistance. It either goes up 6% tomorrow or starts the dive.

    dollar: I'm confused.

  • If the rest of the world looks scary to invest in, the dollar will go up__that's one of the components
  • srains99
    Sweet baby Jesus, I would appreciate it if we did not have an end of the day rally.

    Thanks
  • I'll be posting the qqqq daytrading signals in the member's area---you guys said you wanted more day-trading instruction!
    I think my signals worked faster than Mole's signals today---we'll see__i'll have to look up his timestamps, to confirm___
    Brinkley ( over at Moo's) did a heck of a job too!__
    http://twitter.com/TheMarketMuse
  • XLE signals slightly favor an overnight short
  • srains99
    As long as we stay trading in this same range, I will keep shorting.
  • It occurred to me, that as long as USO stays under $40, the indexes will stay in the same trading range.
  • USO report bullish__
    massive drop in imports.”
    http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601072&sid=aMMw6wmp.AtI
  • I hope you guys aren't losing your shirts on LEAP--it's so deep in the negative RSI, you'll just have to wait for the first up day and then go long---I have really great go long today signals, on the overnight charts--but LEAP is a falling knife, so I'd wait for the first up day
  • Reza
    Z, anything about PCS
  • PCS, needs to retest 8.70__don't have a time frame
  • I also have confirm signal IWM at 56.35, 56.5 max for today, then down__
  • qqqq reached resistance, stiff to Huge to, ( nearly impossible for it to get above__39.37__intraday, 39.5 max
  • C 4 million traded 4.17-4.18 last few minutes it's do or die
  • Z, good call on DE ;-)
  • srains99
    Looking at futures, it could be a very good day. If we do open a lot lower, I do not know if I should take profits or if I should just hold my shorts. It seems like we have an up day followed by a down down, so I just do not know. The good news for the shorts, we did not rally into the close yesterday or the day before, maybe the bulls are getting tired. I am leaning to holding on to my shorts, which means I should probably take profits.
  • I did pretty good on my comments today---I didn't say anything stupid___yay!
    http://disqus.com/people/zstock/#main
  • LEAP is really in play now-
    it's even below my 17 entry--and the exits are way the x up there
    http://zstock7.com/?p=1514
  • XOM chart and the implications for the overall general market--if XOM retests $64___in the member's area--
    There are some member's going to put up $11,000 into this trade---whoa!
    It's the CNBC people--just kidding!
    https://ssl.clickbank.net/order/orderform.html?time=1250630985&vvvv=7a73746f636b&item=2
  • srains99
    Not sure how I found the following but I found it interesting. It shows how search terms that could indicate a bad economy have increased:

    http://blog.rebeltraders.net/2009/08/16/search-bankruptcy-food-stamps/
  • This site shows HPQ down 15cts
    MSFT,CSCO,INTC also down AH
    http://www.marketwatch.com/story/tech-stocks-rise-with-h-ps-earnings-on-tap-2009-08-18
  • srains99
    I sold calls on V, sept 70. I do not see V breaking 70 in the next 30 days
  • XLF sept calls today 2-1 over puts
  • QQQQ Sept puts today 2-1 over calls
  • Something has to make SKF go to RSI 50--that's all I know--either it comes from US markets or from overseas--and this is OPX week--and GS has a lot of covered calls-I imagine-and, they can sell at a huge premium--if they dump this week and reload on Monday with Sept's
  • I'm looking at XOM-66.5-if XOM decides to go up from here--it's all over for the XLE shorts--XLE could be going to 54--if XOM at 65--I don't care what people say--I'm going long
  • srains99
    I just looked at HPQ, they always beat earnings. If they actually missed, that would be huge.
  • Reza
    SPY, QQQQ, FXI selling on strength today
    http://etfdailynews.com/blog/?p=5503
  • srains99
    DRIV may be busted from a technical perspective. Picked up some puts. Not a lot, just a spec play. I think if we have a down day tomorrow, DRIV could really go down
  • DRIV, you might have it right. at these prices $33, DRIV might get an upgrade--I'm still not long DRIV, because the overall market is too high
  • TenYear
    UNG: 9 straight down days.

    statistically makes sense to buy. Technically not bad here. Fundamentally very good.
  • srains99
    Agree with all points.
  • UNG 200 day is $18--the 200 day has been off the 5 month chart--but now it's on the chart---hmmm
  • srains99
    Market up 90 and I am going short, short, short. QID, FXP and adding to UNG.

    I did not get a chance to short at the end of the day yesterday so I am doing it now. We could rally into the close but I am ready to eat that. Too many people on the TV are bullish.
  • TenYear
    UNG: too bad they don't have an ultra inverse yet.
  • I started accumulating UNG at 12.05--took a 1/3 position--(3) sept 9 calls filled 3.20
  • Crude oil report Wed--looks bearish
  • TenYear
    I'm not sure what will bring down the market tomorrow unless it is the dollar.

    We might get one more sideways to up day before plummeting Thursday on the initial claims number.
  • I suppose USO report could tank USO and XLE stocks__get an energy led decline--DE reports in the morning--that ought to be Bad!--HPQ after market close--HPQ misses--and whoa!---better put on a seatbelt!
  • srains99
    For the most part, I will be short until the end of September. We may have more up days to come but I am convinced that sooner rather than later we will get a big pullback.
  • TenYear
    U think HPQ misses?
  • They don't have the earnings or sales to get to 49--08 high--if they beat the street-BIG-HPQ could reach 46's
  • srains99
    I have no idea. I hate earnings and wish they were not reporting tonight. I learned the hard way not to play earnings. Over a year ago I played the MSFT earnings and hit BIG, feeling so proud and good I bet big and played the CSCO earnings. This was the qtr where the outlook was "lumpy". I lost everything I made on MSFT. I took a beating. After eating 3 or 4 servings of humble pie, I decided not to play earnings. Sometimes a company will miss and the stock still goes up, sometimes they exceed and the price goes down. Sometimes the price goes down after they announce only to be up big within a few days.

    I avoid day trading and usually swing trade while building some long term positions (like UNG).
  • UNG may be forming a repeatable bottom -12.0 on overnight---taking a 1/3 position Sept 9 calls, 11.7 still bugging me.
  • SKF worked itself to RSI 36 from what looks like RSI 15---I think you can throw out SKF retesting recent 27's low--I think it goes to the upper bb band first--33.5, which would just about = RSI 50
  • before you know it--FSLR will be at $160, longer term,--if it's down again tomorrow--I'll pick up an OTM SEPT call
  • pre-market news
    leadership from Home Depot ( earnings) (HD 26.74, +0.63) and Target (TGT 43.51, +2.30) -- both provided pleasing quarterly reports this morning. Retailers
    http://www.nasdaq.com/aspx/market-summary.aspx
  • I think these Chinese investor's should upgrade to zstock7's premium service!
  • on my sitemeter, I have more Chinese investors visiting zstock7, than I do US investors---That's what the sitemeter says, when I click on location.
  • GLD 88 200 sma-- --is the support --looks important!
  • NDAQ,XHB,FTO chart done--go to the member's area---
    http://market.zstock7.com/
  • nergo
    I like that HES chart. HES is a strong solid company ... maybe a great opportunity at these prices... GREAT WORK , ZEE .... I need to touch base more often ... been very busy lately.
  • I have to go find toad37-( disqus) -I have a toad joke for toad--long story.
    http://disqus.com/people/toad37/#main
  • Guess who never emailed me?
    Jan--I wonder what happened?
  • old_sparky
    Hello Z, I notice our old pal MYGN has revisited it's 52 week low. It will be interesting to see if it holds. There is trend line support from Oct. 2007 that lines up around 23. Chart looks horrid, though.
  • I like MYGN, first up day and I'd like to go long again--had good luck with MYGN the first time--in July---lolz
  • srains99
    I have been looking at AGP. I may have pulled the trigger a little early but I started a position just now.
  • What do you get if you cross an elephant with a kangaroo?
    ****
    Big holes all over Australia!
  • FRO is that big oil tanker company with the huge dividends----this time if it's at $20--I'm buying--at 22.0 today
  • If you are short RTH from 85's--we'll I don't know what you are supposed to do next
  • Caldacan
    so far there is a nice bottoming tail hammer forming on HES today. I think it could pull back a bit further though. I am continually amazed at how cheap FTO trades at and I will be looking for the technical setup to go long. The worry over the continual weakness in the crack spread for refiners has dragged this stock down to unsustainable levels. FTO's balance sheet is rock solid and they will not be going anywhere no matter how bad the refining industry gets.
  • cotguy
    Thank you Caldacan
  • The day probably finishes ( indexes) at the lows of the day
  • srains99
    Everyday I think the same thing and everyday it rallies in the last 30 min. While common sense would say you are right, I am playing it that the market has no sense. I took profits in the morning and am almost all cash except for UNG which I picked up some more a few minutes ago. I will wait until the last 30 minutes and jump back in. If we rally at the end, I will save my self some money when I short everything again. If it does not rally at the end, it is a bearish sign for tomorrow.
  • Tomorrow on the overnight IWM is setting up for A --another gap down, or B --small moves
  • NOV is below the lower bb band--that means those lower bb bands ain't gonna support--on the XLE stocks
  • AGP--went too conservative on the entry--22.5 never filled--could pullback to 23 or 23.6--that's when to try again
  • FTO twelve point five? or twelve point oh?
  • cotguy
    Please elaborate?

    thanks
    c
  • cotguy
    Sorry, the price it bottoms at possibly a, correct?


  • I'm waiting a little longer about 0.80 cent, if I can get it, on my IWM puts--before cashing out--
    VIX really isn't at 30 yet--I have Sept--so there's time--VIX --all the other investors are saying 30--Why aren't any of them saying $34? I'd be saying $34--if I were those guys!
  • Jan
    Z....

    I need to contact you and your "Contact" form is not working.

    Jan
  • Hi Jan,
    I ran a test. the kontact button seems to be working fine, from this site.
    I'll have to check the other sites--
    http://zstock7.com/?page_id=36
  • Jan
    Nope...I have to keep entering the image number/letters and it just keeps coming up with a new image every time I hit the send button.

    Jan
  • try zstock1 at gmail .com + contact me is case sensitive--it requires capital letters
  • BBOX update--wait for first up day and then go long--BBOX still has the earnings to get back to $39--not saying BBOX gets to $39 this month--but maybe by Xmas rally
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