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SPG,VLO,FSLR
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• Sunday, August 23rd, 2009

SPG 8-25

VLO 8-24

FSLR–8-23
Have you only dreamed about making money trading FSLR—I do it every time FSLR dips–for the past 3 years–ask beannie over at beannieville—I twisted his apple so many times–He’d wait till I gave the green light on FSLR–and then go plaster all over the internet—BUY SOLAR–
Ok, well now I know I’m just exaggerating–but not by much!


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Category: IYR Sector, XLE sector
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  • ----**\\**-----**//**----
    ¨°º¤ø„¸ N E W „ø¤º°¨
    ¸„ø¤º°¨ P O S T ``°º¤ø„¸
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  • I'd like to say one thing before I forget---anytime they start talking about raising interest rates--that means the bear market is over!
    and (they) " the pundits--just about across the board--have been saying Bernanke will have to time raising rates just right---So am I hearing things or did they ( the pundits) just_______ "start" talking about raising the interest rates?
  • INFY this year, doesn't have the revenue or the eps to get to last years high $49, next year it'll go higher than $49
  • Anybody looked at SQM? perfect 35 to 36.5 multi month channel--repeats every 5 days
  • KWT is sitting on its 200 day 13.10__probably a long right there--STP is interesting-
  • long 2k GNVC .81 stop lod .77 cents Swine flu related unknown yet http://www.ars.usda.gov/research/publications/publications.htm?seq_no_115=218873 if my stops hit i'll take loss of 80 bucks
  • I think you can get 0.84 or higher--I doubt you will get stopped out--
  • BNI short, ( winner) it's best to take some profit here at 83
  • LEAP middle bb band , turning sideways, from down--exit is mid bb band 16.8--or upper band 19
  • DE, hard to say if it will get 2 down days in a row--moving stop loss to 45.5--I figure it's either gapped down a little tomorrow, or it stop losses out, and I can get back in at 46 -46.5--using 1% stop loss
  • TenYear
    added some MGM to the IRA today. Z would be horrified if I made public what I sold.
  • de3600
    Z you think the dow will be at 10800 by the end of the year?
  • not in Dec--maybe,Jan-Feb 2010
  • SPG has that corkscrew wedge--those either go down right away--or go up 2 days and then go down right away and keep going down
  • DE--not only is it a short based on EPS at 46's--it now has an inverse head and shoulder retest--at 46-47--next stop is 42
  • darrendong
    I pay attention to all your chart, DE at 42 is very likely, I hope I wont take profit too early ..
  • SII haha--started out up , but it lagged the other's now down 2%
  • XLE up on Monday, down on Tuesday--acting normal for once!
  • Dam Z! Did you see FSLR launched. Stupid trailing stops get me all the dam time. But can you cry with 22% profit?
  • Well at least now, I can say the FSLR bottom is probably 120 and not 115--which suggests the next high is $240--maybe in 5 month's time it will be $240
  • TenYear
    Z, i could use a double, any ideas. market is just getting way too overbought.
  • GENZ is above it's bb band--it's close to a top--I went short DE earlier 46.55
  • MDC is another short that activated this morning
  • I teach ( members) how to use the SPY's own eps numbers against itself. With that info, I come up with the DIA's next high and low--
    become a member
    https://ssl.clickbank.net/order/orderform.html?time=1251227190&vvvv=7a73746f636b&item=2
  • TenYear
    If markets are not down tomorrow (or sideways tomorrow and down Thursday) then I'm going to very very surprised.
  • I think the market topped at DIA = 96--just like I calculated it would 2 month's ago--next quarter trade sideways and in and in 4 to 5 month's look for a 10,800 top---
  • I posted this at 4 other sites--I think I have lots of people nervous now! lolz--we'll just have to wait and see--
  • Nergo
    How about a short AIG?
  • dunno?
  • SII short from yesterday was the right idea--just the wrong OIH holding
  • DE probably closes around 46.0
  • GME is sure strong at the 22 price--
  • rose2797
    Z, earnings due tomorrow for ENER
  • 7 out of 10 reporting have gapped up on earnings--Including BKC today--I knew BKC would get to 19--yahoo says ENER reports 8-27--I'll probably avoid this trade!
  • darrendong
    a.. that means I need to sell all my shares now?
  • just use a stop loss 125-124--FSLR could be on it's way to 135
  • darrendong
    love your FSLR charts, I added more shares at $124, hoho..
  • FSLR, I hope it retests 121 again!--RSI 26 , 2 days ago --should retest 121 again, or not!
  • darrendong
    please ignore question about MA, i am going to follow DE short.. thanks
  • DE from 8-2 posting--short activated 46.7
  • ENER is close to double bottom 11.9--intraday you can probably get a 12.24 entry--upper band is 14
  • MDC 8-2 posting--alert went off at 37.2--short sell signal
  • TenYear
    URE September $5 puts look yummy
  • TenYear
    long JDSU, stop 6.46
  • TenYear
    A down week probably creates the most problematic scenerio for traders going into September.
  • BRCM,HOC chart posted in the members area--
  • HOC -that's a short sell!
  • cotguy
    z,

    are you going to play it via options or shorts. Any opinion on FTO, Frotier oil, another refiner. Whoops i see details on members page. great

    thanks
    c
  • If you can get HOC right--then SUN and FTO will go down too!
  • I think 28.3 is BRCM's high-- period--next stop test below 26
  • OMG--FSLR did exactly what I told my members ( sunday afternoon) it would do--go to 127 and then pullback to 124---that's too hot! OUCH!
  • BNI ( member alert ) and all the railroads--I think the market is getting ready to sector rotate out of them__
  • It's very tempting to short SII, and DE
  • USO is lagging in price---crude at record high--and yet USO isn't at 40.50__it's at 38.7--that's nearly 8% loss due to the VIX mechanism--so if enough time and enough sideways trading goes on --USO mathematically can go to zero
  • Caldacan
    Actually, when USO rolls it's contracts every month, contango reduces the funds net asset value. So until the market prices in backwardation, USO will underperform spot crude. The same is true for UNG and GAZ, although both of those have significant additional problems. So unlike leveraged ETFs such as FAZ and FAS(both perfect shorts), USO probably can't go to zero unless a severe contango resulted for many decades in a row.
  • FSLR SEPT 140 calls didn't move the other OTM calls didn't move either--just have to get FSLR above 130, then they'll move--I don't know if FSLR has two up days in a row--what do you think?
  • Caldacan
    that was a great call on FSLR. I was waiting for it to pull back to 115 before dipping my toes in and it never happened! It look like it could go to that 135 area now but for me I missed the entry point so I will have to take a pass on the trade for now unless we get an unlikely pullback.
  • WFT an OIH holding---RSI 67 going to RSI 70-72? 21.6 now, 23.7 june high__HAL might go beyond my $26 target--OIH might keep up with those two too!--OIH__ i would need 115-119, to have the strong short sell signals on the overnight charts, for an overnight short---
  • INTU ( overnight MACD) has lower low coming tomorrow--below 27.6
  • #FSLR played sep125c for 6.40
  • TenYear
    FSLR: entry and exits look good, even lower would be better for entry. The problem is that Oil is virtually breaking out again and the solars have been going down. Maybe they get rediscovered soon.
  • #FSLR http://www3.stockfetcher.com/sfchart/1724353232.png grab this chart while you can. RSI2 is 0.06. That is INSANE!!! The thing is, it can go lower. Would have been one hell of a short.
  • Why buy Sept call, less than 30 days, already into Theta burn.
    Suggest get October, if you are right, you benefit the same without guaranteed loss of theta burn. however, more capital is required, no doubt.
  • SEPT is so deep in the money, that by the time expire gets here--I can probably pick up the OCT 110, for the same price--that's another advantage for deep in the money--They never run out of time
  • Traderbean shows a big correction coming-maybe in a month!-You have to look at both MACD's he's marked off
    http://traderbean.blogspot.com/2009/08/bullish-percentage-chart.html?dsq=15270141#comment-15270141
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