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• Sunday, December 06th, 2009

YUM, click on the imaget to enlarge

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Right after earnings season ( Oct 11- Nov 11 ) I always start trading
(NOV 12 thru Jan 10)
at an average of 45 winners and 4 losses—
Lets hope I can keep up this furious pace, until Jan 11th 2010–when earnings begin again.

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Category: trading record
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  • rose2797
    thanx, I have watching COCO also for many days. Let us know when you buy WFT. FTO and SUN have similar pattern. My only concern is OIH. If it breaks 110, it will go lot lower.
  • I can always get the 20 day exit on COCO, appox 15--My only concern is, How long will it take COCO to get to $15--APOL has gone flat for 6 weeks
  • NEW POST NEM CHART http://zstock7.com/?p=2043
  • rose2797
    Z, bought CSTR today at 24.03. Will add more. But looks like COCO is a buy. FTO, WFT and SUN will have bounce also. OIH is close to break down. If it breaks, 110, it will got much lower
  • Hi Rose, did you know you have a leveled off upper bb band on CSTR---27.7? That looks like "good news" to me!
    24.0 + 15% = 27.7, that's a lot of upside to work with!
  • TenYear
  • old_sparky
    CSTR barely hanging on to a white candle. Long @24.3 from yesterday. Stop at LOD.
  • CSTR 27.7, good looking target price +15%
  • Nergo
    Zee / Tenear,

    Any over-nighters?
  • TenYear
    that dollar is a real pain in the ass. could be higher tomorrow yet again. I can't tell if we are going up or not tomorrow. If I had a gun to my head, I'd say grab a miner.
  • old_sparky
    I'm glad TenYear is a contributor here. Always posts good stuff. Thanks.
  • SOHU LONG opening a 1/4 postion 51.4, I have 48.5 against me, doubtful.
  • eric
    Look at HD tumble. Great call Z.
  • Trust me, you'll get another chance at HD 28.5! This market is dumb like that! It'll probably be next Tuesday, when they beat the weekly same store sales.
  • eric
    I shorted 1/4 position today and got out with profit. Ready for the next move to 28.50.
    Thanks
  • Bloomberg Energy, Wed oil report USO down bias
    http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601072&sid=awWtNMzANNqM
  • TenYear
    good link. oil down big today on this report. perhaps a bounce tomorrow then.
  • TenYear
    DRYS, FWLT radar

    you can try DRYS with a stop below 6

    FWLT is a buy around 28, there is a gap at 24.30 so careful
  • TenYear
    GIGM, rsi 30
  • Nergo
    December suppose to be Santa Claue/Christmas rally ... correct? Buying opportunity here?
  • Sometimes the X-mas rally, you are not going to believe this!, starts at x-mas, and goes into JAN-FEB
  • TenYear
    OIH radar: 106.60 possible gap fill. bollinger band crash trade now.

    dollar getting extended
  • WFT, gets no love, lower low on Thursday, and I'm long--ADD some to the IRA--this is a $40 stock, eventually, they need to FIRE some people, and get their costs under control.
  • TenYear
    on the radar: ERIC
  • Nergo
    Zee, GLD at 110.70. Going Long a 5% position? . I may watch for a while.
  • Nergo
    Typo ... I mean 25% on above post.
  • NYX rsi crossover, probably have to buy more at the 23's level,
    I had what looked to be weak, but actionable, overnight long signals BLK yesterday--it's up today.
    Which means, I need to move BLK into my Index Group of stocks.
  • sungsop1
    Go long GDX?
  • TenYear
    Sam you might be right on this for an overnight play, I'm seeing some miners filling gaps.
  • TenYear
    wait for 45?
  • HAL at RSI 31, watching.
  • TenYear
    Nasty open:

    sold WFC breakeven
    added to KONG
    trying JEC here
    added to USO, stop is LOD on this
  • I hope you have better results with JEC than I'm having--I was stopped out of JEC ( bad entry) (3%), maybe I'll try again.
  • old_sparky
    Z, It looks like you really got under Hiker's skin over there at Moo's blog. Don't really see why, though.
  • AAPL is up today, which is only adding fuel to the fire. Next time I'll just agree with him.
  • Nergo
    The following sentence is an Alert that popped-up for me in my email this morning (Tues, 12-08). As I do in many stocks that I am interested in, I set-up the ESI alert in my Merrill Lynch account. I have a small position in ESI ... courtesy from a recommendation, by none-other, than the great Zee. : )

    "As reported on 12/8/2009, ESI shares purchased by insiders equaled 347.9% of the 12-month total shares bought by all insiders." - Merrill Lynch

    The Alert MAY indicate that ESI may start to move up.
  • I'm closing 1/2 ESI position, and see if I can it again at under 86, probably won't be able to. We'll see
  • Winace has this incredibly difficult chart pattern solving contest--
    First Prize, is, the sky is the limit!
    http://www.channellines.com/
  • Nergo
    Ohhhhhh nooooo .... Not Winace again. Some of his posts are unchartered territory for technical people. Winace speaks 'way above my head'. I get a brain squeeze and feel so stupid when I visit his web site. He is like Jimi Hendrix - the great guitarist that emerged Waaaaayyyy before his time. Winace should have an opening screen on his web site that says "do not enter beyond this screen unless you have an IQ greater than 160." : ) But I cannot help it. I'll check it out.
  • ERTS, ( just noticed midnight) the overnight bb band is spring loaded ( narrow) --ERTS could make an intraday high of 16.7
  • TOS --Think or swim--new software wipes out all current members past chart work! NO FIX available! Members are leaving in droves--Is there a way to short TOS?
  • Ekalb
    I use TOS and have not had this problem at all
  • Just so you know, it's not always and seldom appropriate to use the inverse Head and shoulder signal, but in the case of HD--it's 100% appropriate--my 12,000 hours of trading stocks says it's appropriate!
  • eric
    Just looking at HD from a T/A perspective it looks like 29.50 would be a likely target to short.
    It is the high for last year and H&D target. This will be my first post using Jing so try the link for my HD chart.

    http://screencast.com/t/OTgyOTY1NG
  • Chart is working. Yay!, I noticed you are using a 3 month inverse H&S, I was using the 2 year weekly inverse H&S--2 signals that say the same thing, means ( TOP IS NAILED), so the next question is--Can we get a $26.5 exit?
  • eric
    HD inverse head and shoulders target around 30?
  • Tuesday same store sales--That's when HD crashes, so This Tuesday or next Tuesday, is my best guess.
    When do those monthly retail reports come out--That's the BIG crash day for HD, HD at these levels.
  • TenYear
    2010 Goldman Sachs trading outlook:

    -Go long SPY this Thursday or Friday, expect the VIX to fall into the 21 area.
    -Long Russian index

    -2010 will be positive returns for the U.S. markets with above avg. returns overseas with greatest potential in Russia. Commodity returns will be good but not great. U.S. dollar will remain under pressure.
  • Nergo
    Thanks for the full thread, TenYear.
  • Reza
    Any links Ten Year
  • TenYear
    Nope. PDF file. Email me if you want it. tenyeartrader@yahoo.com
  • No way does HD get to $29 imo, which might mean--XHB has another 10 to 20% to fall.
  • Reza
    Z, what happened to the kaching link
  • ***
  • UNG, I had a sell GTC 9.25--i just now noticed that the trade was executed today--So I'm out of UNG---ANOTHER WINNER +35%
  • TenYear
    Watch those ultra ETFs this month folks, especially the inverse ones....dividends be a coming.
  • will do!
  • TenYear
    I don't like shorting. But if you like it, JASO is primetime here.
  • EPA ( environmental protection agency) invoked some sort of Supreme Commander RULE of LAW against any type of global warming gases--That's why Solar went up!
  • Obama talks jobs tomorrow, closed out 1/2 MY SHORTS
  • TenYear
    WFC again, stop it under $26
  • AAPL is a falling knife!
  • TenYear
    long KONG, stop $10.83
  • JEC, 34.7
    ATTENTION, BenthePrinter AND fstrtrd
    JEC is a VERY SAFE LONG, exit is upper bb band 37-38--
    You might get another chance at 33.9, that's 50/50
  • SOHU,
    ATTENTION, BenthePrinter AND fstrtrd
    I should be able to get out at $54-$58--so I should get a 1/4 position, today--LONG SOHU $52 and change.
  • Nergo,
    You'd be profitable on NTES right now--SOHU looks like a BUY, SOHU, overnight chart says to wait one more day, then go long--5 month chart says go long now, 1/4 position, and add more at lower prices.
  • Obama talks tomorrow--pre market, jobs, retail stocks should tank, but I'm just guessing.
  • SRS comment from 2 weeks ago--I wish I had this at the top of my notes last Friday--go long SRS 7.78
    http://hotoptionbabe.com/2009/11/18/opx-week/#comment-23487417
  • Reza
    Z, what is the exit price for SRS
  • SRS very short term, is 8.6 middle band, the question is, will SRS get 2 up days in a row--longer term is the upper bb band, 9.4--
    The owners of SRS are going to have to do one of those 20-1 reverse splits--It's getting harder and harder to do the technicals.
  • GLD lower bb band is 110.68--go long 1/4 position. = 1128 gold price
  • Gold "Support is at $1,100 an ounce and then at previous resistance of $1,030 an ounce."
    http://www.marketwatch.com/story/gold-extends-losses-as-dollar-gains-vs-rivals-2009-12-07?siteid=yhoof
  • jting3305
    the RIMM earning is comming, how would think about it, i hold it to the earning date. would be safe.
  • RIMM, if that's at $55 - $57, 12-14-12-16, RIMM reports 12-17--go long 1/4 position. RIMM is coming up to its 100 day 61.3, 200 day is $66, I like $66 as a potential exit.
  • jting3305
    how you think about RINO, DGW.
  • RINO, lower bb band 25.3--try going long --Revenue 08-10 = 1.39,1.78,2.19--so throw out $18's retest for at least 2 years.
  • jting3305
    good job, z is good website, i learned alot, go for it z. thank you
  • TenYear
    USO: play the channel. stop it 37.28
  • Nergo
    Hi Zee!!

    Enjoying the Wins lately. Thanks for all your work. I have been a member for ONE YEAR NOW. Membership started December 2008. Its been a great year and a better learning experience. Zee, you taught me patience. You said WAIT for the entry price before making a trade. You taught me to trade in 50% or 25% positions at times in case entry prices are not exactly correct.

    MY goodness, folks.... Zee, manages a stock trading business here. Do you realize how difficult and complex that could be?? Stock trading includes changes brought in an instant that can effect teh stock you just bought. Trading is a risky business. Trading includes a dynamic World system. and effected by World systems. Stock trading is not a Mom & Pop grocery store. A World system that could effect Zee's stock picks. If one stock analyst happens to lower the EPS of one of Zee's stock pick for the upcoming year/quarter then the stock Zee just recommended may lose. That's the Risk we take as traders. You cannot control a dynamic business ... its evolving constantly. Stock prices can change with the slightest news. Trading includes businesses World-wide but also involves Government decisions (health care) and unknown business practices (Dubai and Madoff). Your stock trade can be effected by Nations at War, News Events, even the weather (hurricanes) My point here ... No trader is going to be a winner 80 to 100% most of the time. Your blessed if you win 60% of the time. BUT ... Zee has consistently come the closest to truly winning than any other trader I know. In short term streaks, say one to two months, Zee has been correct 80 to 90 % of the time. Zee is more successful that most traders.
  • old_sparky
    I may be buying YUM if it gets there. Watching CSTR for a bounce also. Although 25 was pretty good support for CSTR and it broke it. Waiting for an up day.
  • CSTR --Sorry for the late comment--I have really fantastic--go long overnight CSTR signals--It could mean the falling knife is over. look for a +4%-+6%, 25-25.5 middle bb band exit--
  • I just explained how you turn a losing position, into a 3 times winning position at the member's site--That info alone is worth the price of the subscription. http://retracementlevels.zstock7.com/
  • Does anybody here, think BenthePrinter or fstrtrdr will be buying YUM at 32.3?
    Something tells me they won't.
    That trade should be winner #27, if all goes as plans.
  • Airlines, If I tell you to short them now, There is a chance, they will keep going 25% higher.
    If that happens, That's what I would call, an example of market exuberance, which I wish, I knew when they were going to do that!
  • "I am NOT FROM YOUR PLANET---Your People, I DO NOT UNDERSTAND"
    J Hendrix!
  • You see folks---Even when I post my trading record--There are just people around, that have been trained by the SYSTEM, whatever the system is--
    THE SYSTEM HAS TRAINED THEM---
    To KNOW, what ever it is I'm doing--IT AIN'T WORKING!
  • BenthePrinter
    I'm one of those who doesn't believe you! I'd be interested if ANYONE out there has been able to make enough sense of your posts to follow you into even a 60% win ratio with REAL MONEY, real time trades?
  • Yeah, I get that a lot--My trades are hard to follow--I have an upgrade plan, that addresses this issue, in my subscribe site.
    I post my entries and exits on Disqus--intraday, and then Disqus posts that at my Twitter account.
    http://twitter.com/zstock
  • fstrtrdr
    Not to be obstinate, but you don't post regularly enough on disqus to actually follow. I obviously don't know you personally, but I see a lot of "advisory sites" that use this cyber-shift to hide their actual trading record. With instant communication, it is very easy to post actual trades within seconds of execution.
  • I try my best--The day is really short--it takes till 4 hours after market open, to place a trade--so 10:30 my time, west coast, is the earliest possible time I can post a trade.-I'm very very very good at reading daytrading signals, so this provides me, At that unique time-- enough information, to see the best entry price I'll get for that day, and whether or not the market is going to finish the day higher or lower--and whether or not it will finish higher or lower the next day.
  • I've learned an important lesson, about my January earnings season trading prospects.
    I have to Price in a VIX component into each stock's price, that I pick.
    Let's say for example, the method that I teach says
    INTC low is 17.25 and go long.
    I will add 5% VIX to formula's and also expect INTC at
    17.25 - 5% = 16.38
    All through OCT 09 earnings, I added this VIX component to my charts--and it worked like a charm.
    Upgrade Today, click here

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